Real Espana 1-1 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-5.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.9pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -26%
1.94/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.94
-2% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CD Victoria
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
18.02.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-2 HT 1-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
24.09.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 4-3 HT 2-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
29.07.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 3-2 HT 2-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
02.03.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-3 HT 0-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
22.01.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 4-0 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana and CD Victoria couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Real Espana carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Espana had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Real Espana and 1.67 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs CD Victoria?

Real Espana 1-1 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 55%, draw 25%, CD Victoria 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Espana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Espana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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