Real Espana 0-1 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.47
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.16
No
48%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-5.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.7pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.6pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 17%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -25%
2.11/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/2.01
+7% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CD Victoria
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-2 HT 1-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
24.09.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 4-3 HT 2-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
29.07.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 3-2 HT 2-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
02.03.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-3 HT 0-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
22.01.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 4-0 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
27.11.2022 Real Espana Real Espana 1-2 HT 1-2 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Victoria squeezed past Real Espana 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Real Espana at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Espana had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Real Espana and 1.83 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs CD Victoria?

Real Espana 0-1 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 58%, draw 24%, CD Victoria 18%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Espana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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