CD Real Sociedad 1-2 Marathon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.3pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.2pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Marathon EU Bookmakers 46%
-7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.28/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.34
+12% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Real Sociedad
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Marathon
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.02.2024 Marathon Marathon 3-1 HT 0-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
30.10.2023 Marathon Marathon 2-1 HT 0-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
04.09.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 2-0 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
30.04.2023 Marathon Marathon 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
27.02.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-1 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
19.09.2022 Marathon Marathon 3-0 HT 2-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
POST-MATCH CD Real Sociedad vs Marathon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon squeezed past CD Real Sociedad 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Marathon as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CD Real Sociedad and 1.67 for Marathon.

What was the final score of CD Real Sociedad vs Marathon?

CD Real Sociedad 1-2 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Real Sociedad vs Marathon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CD Real Sociedad 35%, draw 23%, Marathon 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marathon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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