Marathon vs CD Real Sociedad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marathon v CD Real Sociedad — Team-Based Signals
Marathon vs CD Real Sociedad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
CD Real Sociedad
HON
2-0
HT 1-0
Marathon
HON
1-0
HT 1-0
CD Real Sociedad
HON
1-1
HT 0-1
Marathon
HON
3-0
HT 2-0
CD Real Sociedad
HON
0-2
HT 0-0
Marathon
HON
Marathon beat CD Real Sociedad 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Marathon as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Marathon and 0.67 for CD Real Sociedad.
What was the final score of Marathon vs CD Real Sociedad?
Marathon 3-1 CD Real Sociedad in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marathon vs CD Real Sociedad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Marathon 54%, draw 23%, CD Real Sociedad 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.