CD Victoria 2-2 Real Espana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.47
Draw
34%
3.45
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
37%
-9.5pp
34%
Draw
25%
+8.2pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Espana EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.35/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.55
+3% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
309 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Real Espana
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 4-3 HT 2-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
29.07.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 3-2 HT 2-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
02.03.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-3 HT 0-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
22.01.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 4-0 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
27.11.2022 Real Espana Real Espana 1-2 HT 1-2 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
16.10.2022 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-4 HT 0-2 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs Real Espana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Victoria and Real Espana couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (27% / 34% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Espana led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CD Victoria and 3.00 for Real Espana.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs Real Espana?

CD Victoria 2-2 Real Espana in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs Real Espana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 27%, draw 34%, Real Espana 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Espana), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Espana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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