CD Olimpia 2-1 Olancho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 3 Feb 2025

📅03/02/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
14%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
57%
+3.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
14%
Away Win
18%
-3.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Olancho EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -1%
1.99/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.75
+11% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
412 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Olancho
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
15.12.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-0 HT 3-0 Olancho Olancho HON
12.12.2024 Olancho Olancho 1-1 HT 1-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
25.11.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 4-0 HT 1-0 Olancho Olancho HON
20.09.2024 Olancho Olancho 1-2 HT 1-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
15.04.2024 Olancho Olancho 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
18.02.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 0-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs Olancho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia nicked a narrow win over Olancho 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CD Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CD Olimpia and 0.50 for Olancho.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs Olancho?

CD Olimpia 2-1 Olancho in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs Olancho?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 61%, draw 24%, Olancho 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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