Genesis PN 1-1 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 3 Feb 2025

Genesis PN
1-1 HT 0-1
Motagua
📅03/02/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2025/2026

Genesis PN vs Motagua Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Genesis PN v Motagua — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
0.65/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.91
-42% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 4.1

Genesis PN vs Motagua Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genesis PN
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Motagua
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
The Meetings
11.11.2024 Motagua Motagua 2-1 HT 2-0 Genesis PN HON
15.09.2024 Genesis PN 0-3 HT 0-0 Motagua Motagua HON
04.04.2024 Motagua Motagua 0-0 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
05.02.2024 Genesis PN 0-1 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
30.09.2023 Motagua Motagua 1-0 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
06.08.2023 Genesis PN 0-0 HT 0-0 Motagua Motagua HON
POST-MATCH Genesis PN vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genesis PN and Motagua couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Motagua at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Genesis PN and 1.17 for Motagua.

What was the final score of Genesis PN vs Motagua?

Genesis PN 1-1 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genesis PN vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Genesis PN 30%, draw 27%, Motagua 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Motagua) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motagua) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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