Genesis PN 0-3 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.2pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 48%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +8%
0.70/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/0.98
-40% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genesis PN
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Motagua
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
04.04.2024 Motagua Motagua 0-0 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
05.02.2024 Genesis PN 0-1 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
30.09.2023 Motagua Motagua 1-0 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
06.08.2023 Genesis PN 0-0 HT 0-0 Motagua Motagua HON
POST-MATCH Genesis PN vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua cruised past Genesis PN 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Motagua as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Motagua led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Genesis PN and 0.50 for Motagua.

What was the final score of Genesis PN vs Motagua?

Genesis PN 0-3 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genesis PN vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Genesis PN 31%, draw 27%, Motagua 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motagua) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
15 Sep 2024
00:00 Marathon vs CD Real Sociedad Analysis →
05:00 Juticalpa vs Real Espana Analysis →