Juticalpa 0-1 Real Espana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.6pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.9pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juticalpa EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Espana EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Juticalpa vs Real Espana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana nicked a narrow win over Juticalpa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 23% / 41%) promised a tight game; Real Espana found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Juticalpa vs Real Espana?

Juticalpa 0-1 Real Espana in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juticalpa vs Real Espana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Juticalpa 36%, draw 23%, Real Espana 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Espana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Espana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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