Marathon vs CD Real Sociedad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marathon v CD Real Sociedad — Team-Based Signals
Marathon vs CD Real Sociedad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
CD Real Sociedad
HON
2-0
HT 1-0
Marathon
HON
1-0
HT 1-0
CD Real Sociedad
HON
1-1
HT 0-1
Marathon
HON
Marathon and CD Real Sociedad couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Marathon at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Marathon and 1.00 for CD Real Sociedad.
What was the final score of Marathon vs CD Real Sociedad?
Marathon 1-1 CD Real Sociedad in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marathon vs CD Real Sociedad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Marathon 55%, draw 22%, CD Real Sociedad 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Marathon), BTTS No went the other way.