Motagua 0-0 Genesis PN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 4 Apr 2024

Motagua
0-0 HT 0-0
Genesis PN
📅04/04/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2025/2026

Motagua vs Genesis PN Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-8.2pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.7pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+2.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.0pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Motagua v Genesis PN — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motagua EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 16%
+9% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.22/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/2.03
+12% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
439 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards –

Motagua vs Genesis PN Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motagua
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Genesis PN
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
05.02.2024 Genesis PN 0-1 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
30.09.2023 Motagua Motagua 1-0 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
06.08.2023 Genesis PN 0-0 HT 0-0 Motagua Motagua HON
POST-MATCH Motagua vs Genesis PN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua and Genesis PN played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Motagua at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Motagua had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Motagua and 0.00 for Genesis PN.

What was the final score of Motagua vs Genesis PN?

Motagua 0-0 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motagua vs Genesis PN?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Motagua 58%, draw 26%, Genesis PN 15%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Motagua) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motagua) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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