Olancho 3-0 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 4 Apr 2024

📅04/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-10.9pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -17%
0.89/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.94
-52% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CD Victoria
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
04.02.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-1 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
01.10.2023 Olancho Olancho 0-2 HT 0-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
05.08.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-1 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
06.03.2023 Olancho Olancho 4-1 HT 2-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
26.01.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
18.09.2022 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-1 HT 1-1 Olancho Olancho HON
POST-MATCH Olancho vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho ran out comfortable winners over CD Victoria 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Olancho as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Victoria led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Olancho and 1.17 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of Olancho vs CD Victoria?

Olancho 3-0 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Olancho 46%, draw 30%, CD Victoria 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olancho), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olancho) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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