CD Victoria 0-1 Olancho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.2pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Olancho EU Bookmakers 46%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.24/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.03
+4% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
272 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Olancho
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.10.2023 Olancho Olancho 0-2 HT 0-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
05.08.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-1 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
06.03.2023 Olancho Olancho 4-1 HT 2-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
26.01.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
18.09.2022 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-1 HT 1-1 Olancho Olancho HON
01.08.2022 Olancho Olancho 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs Olancho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho squeezed past CD Victoria 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Olancho made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Victoria had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CD Victoria and 1.17 for Olancho.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs Olancho?

CD Victoria 0-1 Olancho in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs Olancho?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 35%, draw 25%, Olancho 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olancho) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olancho) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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