Genesis PN 0-1 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 5 Feb 2024

Genesis PN
0-1 HT 0-1
Motagua
📅05/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2025/2026

Genesis PN vs Motagua Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
38%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
27%
+10.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
38%
Away Win
47%
-8.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.1pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Genesis PN v Motagua — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 50%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/1.10
+78% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
265 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 4.0

Genesis PN vs Motagua Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genesis PN
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Motagua
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Motagua Motagua 1-0 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
06.08.2023 Genesis PN 0-0 HT 0-0 Motagua Motagua HON
POST-MATCH Genesis PN vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua nicked a narrow win over Genesis PN 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Motagua found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Motagua led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Genesis PN and 0.50 for Motagua.

What was the final score of Genesis PN vs Motagua?

Genesis PN 0-1 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genesis PN vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Genesis PN 37%, draw 25%, Motagua 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motagua) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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