CD Olimpia 2-1 CD Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 5 Feb 2024

📅05/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.3
Draw
26%
4.95
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.21
Over 2.5
45%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
72%
-14.3pp
26%
Draw
17%
+9.4pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
2.28/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/2.41
+4% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
422 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Olimpia
4W-2D-0L
AWAY CD Real Sociedad
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
25.09.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-0 HT 1-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
17.08.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 3-3 HT 2-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
02.03.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-2 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
23.01.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 5-0 HT 4-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
20.11.2022 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
11.09.2022 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 2-2 HT 1-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH CD Olimpia vs CD Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia edged past CD Real Sociedad 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CD Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for CD Olimpia and 0.83 for CD Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of CD Olimpia vs CD Real Sociedad?

CD Olimpia 2-1 CD Real Sociedad in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Olimpia vs CD Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split CD Olimpia 58%, draw 26%, CD Real Sociedad 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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