Marathon 7-0 Vida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 5 Feb 2024

📅05/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.34
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
70%
-14.6pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.5pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.5pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marathon EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Vida EU Bookmakers 15%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
2.26/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/2.20
+2% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marathon
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Vida
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.10.2023 Vida Vida 1-1 HT 0-0 Marathon Marathon HON
07.08.2023 Marathon Marathon 2-0 HT 1-0 Vida Vida HON
05.03.2023 Vida Vida 0-0 HT 0-0 Marathon Marathon HON
26.01.2023 Marathon Marathon 0-2 HT 0-2 Vida Vida HON
20.10.2022 Vida Vida 2-2 HT 1-1 Marathon Marathon HON
21.08.2022 Marathon Marathon 4-4 HT 1-2 Vida Vida HON
POST-MATCH Marathon vs Vida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon cruised past Vida 7-0. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Marathon as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Marathon and 1.50 for Vida.

What was the final score of Marathon vs Vida?

Marathon 7-0 Vida in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 05/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marathon vs Vida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Marathon 55%, draw 25%, Vida 20%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marathon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
5 Feb 2024
02:00 CD Olimpia vs CD Real Sociedad Analysis →
04:00 Genesis PN vs Motagua Analysis →