Marathon 1-1 CD Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 3 Feb 2025

📅03/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.64
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
56%
-13.5pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.8pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.6pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marathon EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
1.91/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.84
+6% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marathon
3W-2D-1L
AWAY CD Real Sociedad
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3 Corners 4
11.11.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-0 HT 0-0 Marathon Marathon HON
15.09.2024 Marathon Marathon 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
14.04.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-2 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
18.02.2024 Marathon Marathon 3-1 HT 0-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
30.10.2023 Marathon Marathon 2-1 HT 0-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
04.09.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 2-0 HT 1-0 Marathon Marathon HON
POST-MATCH Marathon vs CD Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon and CD Real Sociedad shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Marathon at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Marathon and 1.00 for CD Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Marathon vs CD Real Sociedad?

Marathon 1-1 CD Real Sociedad in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marathon vs CD Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Marathon 43%, draw 31%, CD Real Sociedad 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Marathon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marathon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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