Olancho 1-1 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 12 Dec 2024

📅12/12/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+7.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-4.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
0.62/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.82
-42% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
1W-1D-4L
AWAY CD Olimpia
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
25.11.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 4-0 HT 1-0 Olancho Olancho HON
20.09.2024 Olancho Olancho 1-2 HT 1-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
15.04.2024 Olancho Olancho 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
18.02.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 0-0 HT 0-0 Olancho Olancho HON
19.10.2023 Olancho Olancho 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
05.10.2023 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-0 HT 1-0 Olancho Olancho HON
POST-MATCH Olancho vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho and CD Olimpia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was CD Olimpia at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Olancho and 1.33 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of Olancho vs CD Olimpia?

Olancho 1-1 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 12/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Olancho 32%, draw 24%, CD Olimpia 43%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Olimpia)
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