Olancho 1-0 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
54%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.74
Over 2.5
53%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-3.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
54%
Away Win
48%
+6.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
54%
-6.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
46%
+6.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 52%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
0.76/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.84
-25% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
232 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
1W-1D-4L
AWAY CD Olimpia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
03.02.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-1 HT 1-0 Olancho Olancho HON
15.12.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-0 HT 3-0 Olancho Olancho HON
12.12.2024 Olancho Olancho 1-1 HT 1-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
25.11.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 4-0 HT 1-0 Olancho Olancho HON
20.09.2024 Olancho Olancho 1-2 HT 1-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
15.04.2024 Olancho Olancho 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH Olancho vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho edged past CD Olimpia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was CD Olimpia at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Olancho and 2.00 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of Olancho vs CD Olimpia?

Olancho 1-0 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Olancho 22%, draw 23%, CD Olimpia 54%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Over 2.5
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