Real Espana 3-0 Juticalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.13
No
45%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
43%
+12.2pp
45%
BTTS No
57%
-12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Juticalpa EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.70/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.50
-17% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
410 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Juticalpa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
27.02.2025 Juticalpa Juticalpa 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
10.11.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 0-1 HT 0-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
15.09.2024 Juticalpa Juticalpa 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs Juticalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana ran out comfortable winners over Juticalpa 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Espana as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Espana had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Real Espana and 0.33 for Juticalpa.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs Juticalpa?

Real Espana 3-0 Juticalpa in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs Juticalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 56%, draw 25%, Juticalpa 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Espana), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Espana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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