CD Real Sociedad 0-2 Marathon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.17
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
28%
-4.2pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Marathon EU Bookmakers 46%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -9%
1.00/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.18
-5% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
256 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Real Sociedad
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Marathon
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
03.02.2025 Marathon Marathon 1-1 HT 0-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
11.11.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-0 HT 0-0 Marathon Marathon HON
15.09.2024 Marathon Marathon 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
14.04.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-2 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
18.02.2024 Marathon Marathon 3-1 HT 0-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
30.10.2023 Marathon Marathon 2-1 HT 0-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
POST-MATCH CD Real Sociedad vs Marathon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon saw off CD Real Sociedad 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Marathon as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CD Real Sociedad and 1.50 for Marathon.

What was the final score of CD Real Sociedad vs Marathon?

CD Real Sociedad 0-2 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Real Sociedad vs Marathon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split CD Real Sociedad 24%, draw 31%, Marathon 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marathon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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