Avia Swidnik 4-2 Polonia Bytom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 3 Dec 2025

📅03/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.04
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
54%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.94
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
2.95
6+ Goals
13%
9.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+6.1pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.1pp
55%
Away Win
55%
-0.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.3pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avia Swidnik EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 60%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
3.00/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.24
+150% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -24%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
269 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avia Swidnik
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Polonia Bytom
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
25.09.2024 Avia Swidnik 3-3 HT 1-2 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avia Swidnik
4-2
AWAY Polonia Bytom
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Avia Swidnik vs Polonia Bytom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avia Swidnik got the better of Polonia Bytom 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Polonia Bytom carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Avia Swidnik had 48% of the ball to Polonia Bytom's 52%, shots finished 13-14.

What was the final score of Avia Swidnik vs Polonia Bytom?

Avia Swidnik 4-2 Polonia Bytom in the Poland - Cup on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avia Swidnik vs Polonia Bytom?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Avia Swidnik 28%, draw 18%, Polonia Bytom 55%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Polonia Bytom) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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