Avia Swidnik 3-3 Polonia Bytom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+5.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.4pp
51%
Away Win
53%
-1.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avia Swidnik EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Avia Swidnik vs Polonia Bytom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avia Swidnik and Polonia Bytom shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Polonia Bytom at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Avia Swidnik vs Polonia Bytom?

Avia Swidnik 3-3 Polonia Bytom in the Poland - Cup on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avia Swidnik vs Polonia Bytom?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Avia Swidnik 28%, draw 21%, Polonia Bytom 51%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Polonia Bytom) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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