Korona Kielce 1-1 Stal Mielec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.84
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.11
6+ Goals
10%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 38%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
0.81/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/1.23
-37% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 5.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Korona Kielce
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Stal Mielec
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.09 xG 1.24
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
247 Passes 312
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2024 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 2-1 HT 0-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
06.04.2024 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-0 HT 1-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
29.09.2023 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 2-3 HT 1-2 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
30.04.2023 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 2-1 HT 1-1 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
14.10.2022 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0-2 HT 0-2 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Korona Kielce
1-1
AWAY Stal Mielec
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Korona Kielce vs Stal Mielec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Korona Kielce and Stal Mielec shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Korona Kielce had 46% of the ball to Stal Mielec's 54%, shots finished 19-15.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Korona Kielce had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Korona Kielce and 1.40 for Stal Mielec.

What was the final score of Korona Kielce vs Stal Mielec?

Korona Kielce 1-1 Stal Mielec in the Poland - Cup on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Korona Kielce vs Stal Mielec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Korona Kielce win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Korona Kielce 36%, draw 28%, Stal Mielec 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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