Hutnik Krakow 3-3 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
7.18
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
66%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
11%
+3.6pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.8pp
66%
Away Win
71%
-4.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.9pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hutnik Krakow EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +37%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hutnik Krakow
3-3
AWAY Piast Gliwice
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hutnik Krakow vs Piast Gliwice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hutnik Krakow and Piast Gliwice couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Piast Gliwice at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hutnik Krakow had 43% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 57%, shots finished 11-14.

What was the final score of Hutnik Krakow vs Piast Gliwice?

Hutnik Krakow 3-3 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Cup on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hutnik Krakow vs Piast Gliwice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Hutnik Krakow 15%, draw 19%, Piast Gliwice 66%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Piast Gliwice), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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