Siarka Tarnobrzeg 4-1 Star Starachowice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.5pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.2pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siarka Tarnobrzeg EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Star Starachowice EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
471 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Siarka Tarnobrzeg
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Star Starachowice
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3 Corners 8
19.08.2023 Star Starachowice 1-0 HT 0-0 Siarka Tarnobrzeg Siarka Tarnobrzeg POL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Siarka Tarnobrzeg
4-1
AWAY Star Starachowice
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Star Starachowice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siarka Tarnobrzeg cruised past Star Starachowice 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Siarka Tarnobrzeg as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Siarka Tarnobrzeg had 69% of the ball to Star Starachowice's 31%, shots finished 19-13.

What was the final score of Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Star Starachowice?

Siarka Tarnobrzeg 4-1 Star Starachowice in the Poland - Cup on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Star Starachowice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Siarka Tarnobrzeg win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Siarka Tarnobrzeg 51%, draw 21%, Star Starachowice 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Siarka Tarnobrzeg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Siarka Tarnobrzeg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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