Gornik Leczna 1-1 Puszcza Niepolomice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 25 Sep 2024

Gornik Leczna
1-1
Puszcza Niepolomice
📅25/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Poland - Cup – 2024/2025

Gornik Leczna vs Puszcza Niepolomice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-1.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gornik Leczna v Puszcza Niepolomice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 49%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.07
-26% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / +11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
221 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0

Gornik Leczna vs Puszcza Niepolomice Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Leczna
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.11.2022 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 2-2 HT 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL1
17.07.2022 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 1-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
17.04.2021 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 0-0 HT 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL1
18.11.2020 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 1-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
17.05.2014 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 1-2 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
POST-MATCH Gornik Leczna vs Puszcza Niepolomice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Leczna and Puszcza Niepolomice shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Puszcza Niepolomice at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Puszcza Niepolomice led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Gornik Leczna and 1.00 for Puszcza Niepolomice.

What was the final score of Gornik Leczna vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Gornik Leczna 1-1 Puszcza Niepolomice in the Poland - Cup on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Leczna vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Puszcza Niepolomice win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gornik Leczna 27%, draw 28%, Puszcza Niepolomice 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Puszcza Niepolomice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Puszcza Niepolomice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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