Asteras Tripolis 5-0 Ilioupoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 3 Dec 2025

📅03/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.16
Draw
14%
7.78
Away
9%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
30%
X/2
2%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
82%
-5.3pp
14%
Draw
10%
+3.2pp
9%
Away Win
7%
+2.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilioupoli EU Bookmakers 9%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
3.39/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+16% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Ilioupoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis ran out comfortable winners over Ilioupoli 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Asteras Tripolis as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Ilioupoli?

Asteras Tripolis 5-0 Ilioupoli in the Greece - Cup on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Ilioupoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 77%, draw 14%, Ilioupoli 9%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asteras Tripolis), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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