AE Larissa 0-1 Atromitos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 3 Dec 2025

📅03/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AE Larissa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atromitos EU Bookmakers 39%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.83/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.99
-36% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
235 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AE Larissa
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Atromitos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.75 xG 0.88
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
234 Passes 414
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2025 Atromitos Atromitos 1-1 HT 1-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
16.01.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 4-0 HT 1-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUK
06.12.2023 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-1 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUK
10.04.2021 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-1 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
20.02.2021 Atromitos Atromitos 1-1 HT 0-1 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
28.11.2020 AE Larissa AE Larissa 0-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AE Larissa
0-1
AWAY Atromitos
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AE Larissa vs Atromitos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atromitos edged past AE Larissa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Atromitos made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, AE Larissa had 41% of the ball to Atromitos's 59%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for AE Larissa and 1.17 for Atromitos.

What was the final score of AE Larissa vs Atromitos?

AE Larissa 0-1 Atromitos in the Greece - Cup on 03/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AE Larissa vs Atromitos?

Before kick-off our model rated a AE Larissa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split AE Larissa 37%, draw 27%, Atromitos 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AE Larissa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AE Larissa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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