Atromitos 1-1 AE Larissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 29 Sep 2025

Atromitos
1-1 HT 1-0
AE Larissa
📅29/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2025/2026

Atromitos vs AE Larissa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-1.9pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.5pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.5pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atromitos v AE Larissa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atromitos EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY AE Larissa EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.32/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.17
+4% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
363 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 76%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
18.6 Crosses 16.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 4.2

Atromitos vs AE Larissa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atromitos
2W-3D-1L
AWAY AE Larissa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.66 xG 0.85
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
378 Passes 242
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.01.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 4-0 HT 1-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUK
06.12.2023 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-1 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUK
10.04.2021 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-1 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
20.02.2021 Atromitos Atromitos 1-1 HT 0-1 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
28.11.2020 AE Larissa AE Larissa 0-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
29.06.2020 Atromitos Atromitos 3-0 HT 1-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN

Atromitos 1-1 AE Larissa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atromitos
1-1
AWAY AE Larissa
1.54 xG 0.44
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
522 Passes 208
90% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Atromitos vs AE Larissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atromitos and AE Larissa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Atromitos at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Atromitos had 68% of the ball to AE Larissa's 32%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 1.54 to 0.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atromitos had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atromitos and 0.50 for AE Larissa.

What was the final score of Atromitos vs AE Larissa?

Atromitos 1-1 AE Larissa in the Greece - Super League on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atromitos vs AE Larissa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atromitos win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atromitos 45%, draw 31%, AE Larissa 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atromitos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atromitos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →