Granada II 0-1 Melilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 4 Jan 2024

📅04/01/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.44
Over 2.5
33%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.29
No
62%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
6.54
6+ Goals
7%
52.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.1pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.8pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-1.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
66%
+0.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
34%
-0.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.7pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Melilla EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
0.94/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.28
-25% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Granada II
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Melilla
3.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.02.2022 Granada II Granada II 1-0 HT 1-0 Melilla Melilla İS4
18.09.2021 Melilla Melilla 1-3 HT 0-0 Granada II Granada II İS4
06.08.2018 Granada II Granada II 2-0 HT 1-0 Melilla Melilla HAZ
26.01.2014 Granada II Granada II 7-0 HT 2-0 Melilla Melilla İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada II
0-1
AWAY Melilla
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Granada II vs Melilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melilla nicked a narrow win over Granada II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Granada II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Granada II had 52% of the ball to Melilla's 48%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Granada II had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.25 goals for Granada II and 0.25 for Melilla.

What was the final score of Granada II vs Melilla?

Granada II 0-1 Melilla in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 04/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada II vs Melilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Granada II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Granada II 41%, draw 33%, Melilla 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Granada II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Granada II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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