Sabadell 3-1 Tarazona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 4 Jan 2024

📅04/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.65
6+ Goals
8%
39.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.4pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabadell EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Tarazona EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.25/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.62
-9% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -23%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 179 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sabadell
3-1
AWAY Tarazona
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Sabadell vs Tarazona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabadell got the better of Tarazona 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sabadell as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sabadell had 45% of the ball to Tarazona's 55%, shots finished 17-8.

What was the final score of Sabadell vs Tarazona?

Sabadell 3-1 Tarazona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 04/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabadell vs Tarazona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabadell win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sabadell 47%, draw 28%, Tarazona 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sabadell) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sabadell) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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