FAR Rabat 3-0 Moghreb Tetouan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 4 Jan 2024

📅04/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.34
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.21
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.41
6+ Goals
8%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 29% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
70%
-11.0pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.9pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FAR Rabat EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan EU Bookmakers 14%
+13% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
2.17/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.72
+23% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FAR Rabat
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
17.04.2023 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat 2-1 HT 0-1 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
14.11.2022 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 0-2 HT 0-1 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat FAS
14.05.2022 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat 3-0 HT 0-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FASK
15.05.2021 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 0-0 HT 0-0 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat FAS
08.12.2020 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat 2-3 HT 1-1 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
16.02.2020 FAR Rabat FAR Rabat 2-1 HT 0-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FAR Rabat
3-0
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FAR Rabat vs Moghreb Tetouan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FAR Rabat swept aside Moghreb Tetouan 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FAR Rabat as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, FAR Rabat had 61% of the ball to Moghreb Tetouan's 39%, shots finished 15-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FAR Rabat had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FAR Rabat and 0.83 for Moghreb Tetouan.

What was the final score of FAR Rabat vs Moghreb Tetouan?

FAR Rabat 3-0 Moghreb Tetouan in the Morocco - League on 04/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FAR Rabat vs Moghreb Tetouan?

Before kick-off our model rated a FAR Rabat win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split FAR Rabat 59%, draw 24%, Moghreb Tetouan 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FAR Rabat), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FAR Rabat) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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