RSB Berkane 3-1 JS Soualem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 4 Jan 2024

📅04/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.86
Over 2.5
40%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 32% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-10.7pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.4pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.8pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RSB Berkane EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY JS Soualem EU Bookmakers 17%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.57/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.24
+2% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
411 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RSB Berkane
1W-2D-1L
AWAY JS Soualem
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2023 RSB Berkane RSB Berkane 0-1 HT 0-1 JS Soualem JS Soualem FAS
22.10.2022 JS Soualem JS Soualem 1-1 HT 0-1 RSB Berkane RSB Berkane FAS
01.05.2022 RSB Berkane RSB Berkane 4-3 HT 4-1 JS Soualem JS Soualem FAS
27.10.2021 JS Soualem JS Soualem 0-0 HT 0-0 RSB Berkane RSB Berkane FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RSB Berkane
3-1
AWAY JS Soualem
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH RSB Berkane vs JS Soualem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RSB Berkane got the better of JS Soualem 3-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had RSB Berkane as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RSB Berkane had 66% of the ball to JS Soualem's 34%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for RSB Berkane and 1.25 for JS Soualem.

What was the final score of RSB Berkane vs JS Soualem?

RSB Berkane 3-1 JS Soualem in the Morocco - League on 04/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RSB Berkane vs JS Soualem?

Before kick-off our model rated a RSB Berkane win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split RSB Berkane 53%, draw 28%, JS Soualem 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RSB Berkane) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RSB Berkane) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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