Atromitos 3-0 Kifisia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 4 Jan 2024

📅04/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.72
6+ Goals
8%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 31% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.8
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
12.6
X/1 EV+ ✗
21%
4.6
X/2
9%
7.29
X/X
18%
4.25
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
8%
5.42
2/X
4%
13.15
Value flag · X/1 at 4.6 — our 21% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atromitos EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kifisia EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
1.30/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/2.46
+26% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / -49%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
15.3 Crosses 18.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 4.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atromitos
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kifisia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.16 xG 1.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
13 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
417 Passes 168
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2023 Kifisia Kifisia 2-1 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atromitos
3-0
AWAY Kifisia
1.72 xG 0.70
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 10
330 Passes 289
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atromitos vs Kifisia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atromitos cruised past Kifisia 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atromitos as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atromitos had 53% of the ball to Kifisia's 47%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.72 to 0.70.

What was the final score of Atromitos vs Kifisia?

Atromitos 3-0 Kifisia in the Greece - Super League on 04/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atromitos vs Kifisia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atromitos win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Atromitos 47%, draw 30%, Kifisia 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atromitos), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atromitos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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YUN More Greece - Super League
4 Jan 2024
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