Panaitolikos 3-2 Panserraikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 4 Jan 2024

📅04/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.83
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.22
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.2
X/1
18%
4.52
X/2
9%
6.19
X/X
15%
3.84
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
12%
5.0
2/X
5%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+5.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panaitolikos EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.00/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.42
-11% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / -56%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 73%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
17.4 Crosses 14.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panaitolikos
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Panserraikos
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.77 xG 0.72
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
282 Passes 296
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-1 HT 1-0 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos YUN
07.08.2023 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-3 HT 1-2 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos HAZ
25.10.2017 Panaitolikos Panaitolikos 2-0 HT 1-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panaitolikos
3-2
AWAY Panserraikos
1.93 xG 1.70
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
341 Passes 324
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Panaitolikos vs Panserraikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panaitolikos nicked a narrow win over Panserraikos 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Panaitolikos as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Panaitolikos had 51% of the ball to Panserraikos's 49%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.93 to 1.70.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Panaitolikos had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Panaitolikos and 1.00 for Panserraikos.

What was the final score of Panaitolikos vs Panserraikos?

Panaitolikos 3-2 Panserraikos in the Greece - Super League on 04/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panaitolikos vs Panserraikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panaitolikos win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Panaitolikos 48%, draw 26%, Panserraikos 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panaitolikos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panaitolikos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUN More Greece - Super League
4 Jan 2024
20:00 Atromitos vs Kifisia Analysis →