Venezia 1-1 Empoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 4 Jan 2025

Venezia
1-1 HT 1-1
Empoli
📅04/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Venezia vs Empoli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
4.34
6+ Goals
9%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.73
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
9%
5.34
X/2
15%
5.99
X/X
14%
3.79
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
11%
4.39
2/X
7%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.4pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.6pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Venezia v Empoli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezia EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Empoli EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.59/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.19
+15% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
16.7 Crosses 19.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Venezia vs Empoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezia
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Empoli
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.94 xG 1.75
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
247 Passes 424
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.01.2022 Venezia Venezia 1-1 HT 0-1 Empoli Empoli İTA
11.09.2021 Empoli Empoli 1-2 HT 0-1 Venezia Venezia İTA
26.02.2021 Empoli Empoli 1-1 HT 0-1 Venezia Venezia İTB
01.11.2020 Venezia Venezia 2-0 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTB
31.10.2020 Venezia Venezia 2-0 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTB
03.07.2020 Venezia Venezia 0-2 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTB

Venezia 1-1 Empoli — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezia
1-1
AWAY Empoli
0.83 xG 1.78
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
318 Passes 300
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Venezia vs Empoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezia and Empoli shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Venezia had 50% of the ball to Empoli's 50%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.83 to 1.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venezia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Venezia and 0.83 for Empoli.

What was the final score of Venezia vs Empoli?

Venezia 1-1 Empoli in the Italy - Serie A on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezia vs Empoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Venezia 40%, draw 26%, Empoli 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Venezia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Venezia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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