Fiorentina 0-3 Napoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 4 Jan 2025

Fiorentina
0-3 HT 0-1
Napoli
📅04/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Fiorentina vs Napoli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.45
2-3 Goals
48%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.54
6+ Goals
7%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.34
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
9%
13.65
X/1
12%
6.81
X/2
9%
4.78
X/X
16%
3.75
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.21
2/X
7%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.9pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.9pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fiorentina v Napoli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Napoli EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +18%
1.61/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.00
+63% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +42%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
20.4 Crosses 15.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Fiorentina vs Napoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Napoli
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.09 xG 1.48
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
413 Passes 360
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.05.2024 Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-2 HT 2-1 Napoli Napoli İTA
18.01.2024 Napoli Napoli 3-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTSK
08.10.2023 Napoli Napoli 1-3 HT 1-1 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
07.05.2023 Napoli Napoli 1-0 HT 0-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
28.08.2022 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0-0 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
10.04.2022 Napoli Napoli 2-3 HT 0-1 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA

Fiorentina 0-3 Napoli — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina
0-3
AWAY Napoli
1.13 xG 1.56
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
335 Passes 370
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fiorentina vs Napoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napoli ran out comfortable winners over Fiorentina 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 36%) promised a tight game; Napoli found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fiorentina had 48% of the ball to Napoli's 52%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.13 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fiorentina and 1.50 for Napoli.

What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Napoli?

Fiorentina 0-3 Napoli in the Italy - Serie A on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina vs Napoli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 32%, draw 32%, Napoli 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Napoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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