Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-0 Perth Glory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 4 Jan 2025

Wellington Phoenix (K)
2-0 HT 0-0
Perth Glory (K)
📅04/01/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Perth Glory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.97
Over 2.5
41%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
47%
+12.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
53%
-12.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wellington Phoenix (K) v Perth Glory (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K) EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.99/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.43
+23% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +72%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
22.3 Crosses 13.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Perth Glory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3.99 xG 0.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
286 Passes 277
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.03.2024 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 1-3 HT 1-1 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) AVUSTW

Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-0 Perth Glory (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K)
2-0
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
1.62 xG 0.48
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
327 Passes 214
75% Pass Accuracy 67%
27 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Perth Glory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wellington Phoenix (K) got the better of Perth Glory (K) 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wellington Phoenix (K) as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Wellington Phoenix (K) had 57% of the ball to Perth Glory (K)'s 43%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.62 to 0.48.

What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-0 Perth Glory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix (K) 49%, draw 27%, Perth Glory (K) 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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