Central Coast Mariners (K) 0-1 Adelaide United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 4 Jan 2025

Central Coast Mariners (K)
0-1 HT 0-1
Adelaide United (K)
📅04/01/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.07
Over 2.5
42%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.2pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Coast Mariners (K) v Adelaide United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide United (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
1.20/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.99
-33% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
17.7 Crosses 19.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0

Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Adelaide United (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.44 xG 0.56
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
290 Passes 330
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW

Central Coast Mariners (K) 0-1 Adelaide United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
0-1
AWAY Adelaide United (K)
3.10 xG 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
336 Passes 327
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Adelaide United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United (K) squeezed past Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Adelaide United (K) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners (K) had 54% of the ball to Adelaide United (K)'s 46%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 3.10 to 0.83 — the balance of chances actually favoured Central Coast Mariners (K).

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?

Central Coast Mariners (K) 0-1 Adelaide United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central Coast Mariners (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners (K) 38%, draw 28%, Adelaide United (K) 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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