Al Hamriyah 1-1 Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒15:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
13%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.9pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hamriyah EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Arabi EU Bookmakers 45%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.58/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.09
-53% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hamriyah
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Arabi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2024 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah 3-1 HT 1-0 Arabi BAE2
09.10.2023 Arabi 1-2 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
19.02.2023 Arabi 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
09.10.2022 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah 1-0 HT 0-0 Arabi BAE2
17.04.2022 Arabi 1-1 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
01.01.2022 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah 1-2 HT 0-1 Arabi BAE2
POST-MATCH Al Hamriyah vs Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hamriyah and Arabi couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Arabi at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hamriyah had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Hamriyah and 0.83 for Arabi.

What was the final score of Al Hamriyah vs Arabi?

Al Hamriyah 1-1 Arabi in the UAE - 1st Division on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hamriyah vs Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Hamriyah 33%, draw 24%, Arabi 42%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arabi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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