Moghreb Tetouan 1-2 Wydad Casablanca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
50%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.89
6+ Goals
11%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
17%
+4.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-8.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.0pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moghreb Tetouan EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Wydad Casablanca EU Bookmakers 62%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -27%
0.47/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.84
-39% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +0%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
198 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moghreb Tetouan
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Wydad Casablanca
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca 1-0 HT 0-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
14.06.2024 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca 1-0 HT 0-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
07.01.2024 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 0-0 HT 0-0 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca FAS
29.05.2023 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca 2-0 HT 0-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
10.02.2023 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 0-0 HT 0-0 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca FASK
08.01.2023 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 0-3 HT 0-0 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moghreb Tetouan
1-2
AWAY Wydad Casablanca
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Moghreb Tetouan vs Wydad Casablanca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wydad Casablanca nicked a narrow win over Moghreb Tetouan 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wydad Casablanca as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Moghreb Tetouan had 51% of the ball to Wydad Casablanca's 49%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wydad Casablanca led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Moghreb Tetouan and 1.17 for Wydad Casablanca.

What was the final score of Moghreb Tetouan vs Wydad Casablanca?

Moghreb Tetouan 1-2 Wydad Casablanca in the Morocco - League on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moghreb Tetouan vs Wydad Casablanca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wydad Casablanca win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Moghreb Tetouan 22%, draw 29%, Wydad Casablanca 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wydad Casablanca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wydad Casablanca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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