Wydad Casablanca 1-0 Moghreb Tetouan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.27
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
20%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
3.06
No
56%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
75%
-20.4pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.1pp
20%
Away Win
7%
+13.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
28%
+15.1pp
56%
BTTS No
72%
-15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wydad Casablanca EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan EU Bookmakers 9%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.95/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.15
+10% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -22%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
429 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wydad Casablanca
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
14.06.2024 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca 1-0 HT 0-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
07.01.2024 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 0-0 HT 0-0 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca FAS
29.05.2023 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca 2-0 HT 0-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
10.02.2023 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 0-0 HT 0-0 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca FASK
08.01.2023 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 0-3 HT 0-0 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca FAS
01.08.2021 Wydad Casablanca Wydad Casablanca 2-2 HT 1-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wydad Casablanca
1-0
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan
77% Ball Possession 23%
18 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wydad Casablanca vs Moghreb Tetouan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wydad Casablanca nicked a narrow win over Moghreb Tetouan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wydad Casablanca as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Wydad Casablanca had 77% of the ball to Moghreb Tetouan's 23%, shots finished 18-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wydad Casablanca had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Wydad Casablanca and 0.33 for Moghreb Tetouan.

What was the final score of Wydad Casablanca vs Moghreb Tetouan?

Wydad Casablanca 1-0 Moghreb Tetouan in the Morocco - League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wydad Casablanca vs Moghreb Tetouan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wydad Casablanca win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Wydad Casablanca 55%, draw 25%, Moghreb Tetouan 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wydad Casablanca), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wydad Casablanca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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