Maghreb Fes 1-2 UTS Rabat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
5.57
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.2pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.3pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.8pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maghreb Fes EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY UTS Rabat EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.87/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.61
-21% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maghreb Fes
1W-1D-2L
AWAY UTS Rabat
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 UTS Rabat UTS Rabat 1-0 HT 0-0 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
10.11.2023 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 0-1 HT 0-1 UTS Rabat UTS Rabat FAS
20.05.2023 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 0-0 HT 0-0 UTS Rabat UTS Rabat FAS
07.01.2023 UTS Rabat UTS Rabat 1-2 HT 0-1 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
POST-MATCH Maghreb Fes vs UTS Rabat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTS Rabat squeezed past Maghreb Fes 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; UTS Rabat found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, UTS Rabat led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Maghreb Fes and 0.75 for UTS Rabat.

What was the final score of Maghreb Fes vs UTS Rabat?

Maghreb Fes 1-2 UTS Rabat in the Morocco - League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maghreb Fes vs UTS Rabat?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maghreb Fes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Maghreb Fes 39%, draw 30%, UTS Rabat 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Maghreb Fes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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14 Sep 2024
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