Annagh United 3-2 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
42%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.5
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 27% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+8.4pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.8pp
43%
Away Win
55%
-12.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annagh United EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annagh United
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Portadown FC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
06.04.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-4 HT 0-2 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
10.02.2024 Annagh United Annagh United 2-2 HT 2-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL1
26.12.2023 Annagh United Annagh United 3-1 HT 2-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL1
09.09.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 4-1 HT 2-1 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Annagh United
3-2
AWAY Portadown FC
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Annagh United vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annagh United nicked a narrow win over Portadown FC 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Portadown FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Annagh United had 43% of the ball to Portadown FC's 57%, shots finished 8-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Annagh United had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Annagh United and 2.25 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Annagh United vs Portadown FC?

Annagh United 3-2 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - Cup on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annagh United vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portadown FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Annagh United 31%, draw 27%, Portadown FC 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Portadown FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portadown FC) ✓ Over 2.5
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