Ballymena United vs Ards FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ballymena United v Ards FC — Team-Based Signals
Ballymena United vs Ards FC Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-4
Ballymena United
KILK
Ballymena United 1-2 Ards FC — Actual Match Statistics
Ards FC edged past Ballymena United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ballymena United at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ballymena United had 68% of the ball to Ards FC's 32%, shots finished 13-6.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ballymena United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Ballymena United and 1.00 for Ards FC.
What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Ards FC?
Ballymena United 1-2 Ards FC in the North Ireland - Cup on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Ards FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 60%, draw 23%, Ards FC 17%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ballymena United), BTTS No went the other way.