05/11/2024
·
22:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
Ballymena United vs Ards FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
19%
Draw
19%
20%
Away Win
14%
45%
Under 2.5
41%
55%
Over 2.5
59%
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
49%
BTTS No
50%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ballymena United v Ards FC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ballymena United
EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ards FC
EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
16
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
425 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
298 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Ballymena United vs Ards FC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Ballymena United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Ards FC
4.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
53%
Ball Possession
47%
11
Total Shots
6
4
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
4
The Meetings
14.09.2022
Ards FC
2-4
Ballymena United
KILK
2-4
Ballymena United
KILK
POST-MATCH
Ballymena United vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ballymena United nicked a narrow win over Ards FC 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Ballymena United as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Ards FC?
Ballymena United 1-0 Ards FC in the North Ireland - League Cup on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Ards FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 60%, draw 19%, Ards FC 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballymena United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Ballymena United)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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KİRLK
More North Ireland - League Cup
5 Nov 2024