Dungannon Swifts 3-1 Dollingstown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - League Cup, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.11
Draw
16%
8.78
Away
20%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
1.0
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
11.3
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
45%
2.67
4-5 Goals
25%
2.29
6+ Goals
12%
3.19
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 2.67 — our 45% vs market 31.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1.08
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
3%
34.5
X/1
8%
3.58
X/2
13%
34.5
X/X
9%
27.0
2/1
4%
24.85
2/2
3%
34.5
2/X
3%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
85%
-20.9pp
16%
Draw
8%
+7.2pp
20%
Away Win
6%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Dollingstown EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +89%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
459 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Dollingstown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts beat Dollingstown 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dungannon Swifts as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Dollingstown?

Dungannon Swifts 3-1 Dollingstown in the North Ireland - League Cup on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Dollingstown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 64%, draw 16%, Dollingstown 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dungannon Swifts), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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