Crusaders FC 2-1 Coleraine FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - League Cup, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.09
6+ Goals
10%
19.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.15
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
13.75
X/1 EV+ ✗
27%
4.66
X/2
17%
6.26
X/X
15%
4.3
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
5%
4.75
2/X
6%
14.05
Value flag · X/1 at 4.66 — our 27% vs market 16.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
43%
+5.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Coleraine FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
06.05.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-2 HT 2-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
20.04.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
16.03.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
04.11.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
30.09.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-4 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC squeezed past Coleraine FC 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Crusaders FC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Crusaders FC and 1.00 for Coleraine FC.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC?

Crusaders FC 2-1 Coleraine FC in the North Ireland - League Cup on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 48%, draw 25%, Coleraine FC 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crusaders FC), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✓ BTTS Yes
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