Crusaders FC 2-1 Coleraine FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 31% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.61
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.65
X/1
17%
4.4
X/2
10%
7.51
X/X
15%
4.92
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
14%
5.51
2/X
5%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-10.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.4pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -19%
1.71/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.71
+1% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Coleraine FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.05.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-2 HT 2-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
20.04.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
16.03.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
04.11.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
30.09.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-4 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
11.04.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-1 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC edged past Coleraine FC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Crusaders FC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Crusaders FC and 1.00 for Coleraine FC.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC?

Crusaders FC 2-1 Coleraine FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 39%, draw 29%, Coleraine FC 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crusaders FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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